09-01-2015, 07:27 PM
(09-01-2015, 07:22 PM)Flarezerker Wrote:I've seen it before, you lose a fair chunk to negative emotions (in this case more their own fault than that of an antagonizing user) and general loss of interest, community starts to divide into groups, user complains about division, larger and/or more influential group complains it's not an issue at all, complaints continue until one or more group offers hostile knee-jerk reaction to any mention of community division, and from there the groups are more or less unsalvageable into a whole and the community will tear itself apart over how to preserve itself.(09-01-2015, 07:20 PM)Surge Wrote: 1 year seems generous but I've been wrong before. We've hit the point where the community is all but guaranteed to die violently, either we'll see a big cataclysmic event where the mods feel forced to ban such a large chunk of the community that the rest won't be able to support itself or we'll see more drawn out hostilities that will cause people to leave in chunks until we hit that same critical lack of mass.Or maybe the hacker known as 4Chan will get to it before those things happen. You never know.
I think the last group went half a year from when things really heated up to total death, but it was already withering before then so I'd give it 1.5 years through the worst of it.
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